Rabu, 29 Oktober 2014

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The Inefficient Stock Market: What Pays Off and Why, by Robert A. Haugen

Sparked with wry wit and humor, this clever and insightful text provides clear and undeniable evidence that the stock market is, in the author's view, inefficient, and that important aspects of market behavior cannot be explained by models based on rational economic behavior. Intended for Financial Markets and Institutions, and Money and Capitals Markets courses at the undergraduate level. *Tackles important issues in today's financial market in a highly conversational and entertaining manner that will appeal to most students, with relatively short, 'punchy' paragraphs that entice readers to go on. *Provides clear explanations of the CAPM and the APT. *Analyzes the characteristics of individual stocks that are associated with high returns. *Predicts international stock returns. *Considers why cheap, profitable, and low risk stocks tend to produce a high return. *Looks into such areas as the payoffs to risk liability, profitability, and a stock's performance in past periods.

  • Sales Rank: #3404123 in Books
  • Published on: 1998-10-30
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 8.75" h x 5.75" w x .50" l, 1.10 pounds
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 160 pages

From the Back Cover
Showing savvy financiers how to beat the stock market, this witty and insightful guide provides clear and undeniable evidence that the stock market is, in the author's view, inefficient - and that important aspects of market behavior can not be explained by models based on rational economic behavior. Tackles important issues in today's financial market in a highly conversational and entertaining manner that will appeal to many readers. Shows how to measure the payoffs to stock characteristics (factors), and provides clear explanations of the CAPM and the APT. Discusses risk and expected return factor models. Predicts international stock returns, analyzes the characteristics of individual stocks that are associated with high returns, and delves into such topics as the payoffs to risk liquidity, profitability, and a stock's performance in past periods. Considers why cheap, profitable, and low risk stocks tend to produce high returns, and takes readers into the land of "Super Stocks". For Pension Officers, Security Analysts, and Financial Planners.

About the Author

Robert A. Haugen is Emeritus Professor of Finance at the University of California, Irvine. Professor Haugen has held endowed chairs at the University of Wisconsin, the University of Illinois, and the University of California. He is the author of more than 50 articles in the leading journals in finance and 13 books, including The Incredible January Effect, The New Finance, Beast on Wall Street, and Modern Investment Theory. He serves as Managing Partner to Haugen Custom Financial Systems, which licenses portfolio management software to 25 pension funds, endowments, and institutional and high-net-worth money managers. Visit Robert Haugen's Web site at: www.bobhaugen.com .

Excerpt. © Reprinted by permission. All rights reserved.

Factor models have been widely employed in the investments business for decades. Quantitatively oriented managers have used them to control the month-to-month variation in the differences between the returns to their stock portfolios and the returns to the stock indices to which they are benchmarked. These models employ a wide variety of ad hoc factors that have been shown to be effective in predicting the risk of a stock portfolio.

Factor models have also been widely discussed in academic finance. Finance professors have long searched for the factors that account for the extent to which returns are correlated stock to stock. The professors have correctly concluded that the correlations can be explained by a few factors, such as unexpected changes in industrial production, inflation, or interest rates. This is not to say that these few factors can match the success of the wide variety of ad hoc factors used in the business for forecasting risk.

The professors have also used factor models to explain why stocks have differential expected returns. These models are theoretical in nature, and are derived under the assumption that pricing in the stock market is efficient and rational. If it is not, a wide variety of ad hoc factors may be useful in explaining and predicting expected stock returns.

Until recently, ad hoc factor models have not been employed to predict the expected return to stock portfolios. Surprisingly, the factor models are much more powerful in predicting expected return than they are in predicting risk. The purpose of this book is to demonstrate and explain the nature of this power.

I wish to thank Teimur Abasov, David Friese, and David Olson for research assistance. I have also benefited from the comments of Mark Fedenia, Joseph Finnerty, Jeremy Gold, Tiffany Haugen, Thomas Krueger, Robert Marchesi, Cheryl McCaughey, Ray Parker, Neal Stoughton, Manuel Tarrazo, and Ole Jakob Wold. Much of the original work was done jointly with Nardin Baker. The idea for this book was suggested to me by Paul Donnelly.

Most helpful customer reviews

3 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
I spent a lot of time trying to faithfully algorithmically recreate his super stock model
By S li
I purchased this book because I am interested in algorithmic trading. A significant part of this book is spent deriving and validating a "super stock" factor model that Haugen suggests can beat various other metrics over time. I spent a lot of time trying to faithfully algorithmically recreate his super stock model. I ran it in backtests over various periods of time over the last few years and even tried simulating a portfolio of "super stocks" in real time.

They totally bombed. As far as I can tell, the reason for this is that the "super stock" model has a propensity to buy a lot of distressed assets (FreeSeas, for instance, was one of its top-ten favorites.)

This book is definitely geared towards the layman. There are times when he spends a lot of time explaining in words what could be written as a simple matrix equation. The issue is that it seems to me that any layman who took the time to recreate his factor model would be very disappointed. It's entirely likely that the market is inefficient. Unfortunately, it may be the case that the particular ways that the market is inefficient today simply aren't knowable, or that the market has now priced in his factor model. Whatever the case may be, if you're looking for a winning trading model as a layman, it's not here. If you're looking for a mathematical basis of understanding the inefficiencies in the stock market, that's not here either. I'm not sure that there exists a group of people for whom I would recommend this book.

At the very least, if Haugen seriously believes that his model is valuable, the next edition of this book should include some software component to help the reader pick out and use his factor model so that they may more easily verify it for themselves.

2/5. Cannot recommend.

39 of 46 people found the following review helpful.
What may pay off a little bit, and why
By Bruce_in_LA
One major school of investment and finance is that markets are so efficient, or, so random, that it is virtually impossible to consistently beat the market. (Remember that half are always above average, and exactly half are always below average.) Readers of "The Experts Pick:..." columns in business magazines or the Wall Street Journal may recognize that such national investment experts fail in their "best" stock pick about half the time, or, in the case of the WSJ, a "dartboard" (literally) performs about as well as half the experts. There is a school of Finance (folks with PhDs) who work on proving this is so. Inefficient Stock Market is a fairly complex work, with lots of graphs and tables, which shows that fairly complex models with dozens of factors may beat the market - by a few percentage points, sometimes. The author is indeed very knowledgeable and writes clearly (given his sophisticated material). But don't expect a "get rich quick" theory of investment. You know, the market is too efficient to allow that ! It's not really behavioral finance (except in his criticism of the status quo). It's something of a very sophisticated approach to "value investing", with the goal of securing a few extra percentage points of return over an index fund. Note: this is not a book for starters. You should know something about the stock market and investing for the whole point of this book to make sense. A book like Lebaron's "ULTIMATE INVESTOR" could give you some background knowledge for this book.

40 of 46 people found the following review helpful.
The Inefficient Stock Market, What Pays Off and Why
By skipper and mate
Ever since I finished my MBA in 1985, I have suspected that the stock market is volatile and inefficient. I have studied Markowitz, the CAPM, and other elegant mathemetical models of the market that indicate the market (ex. S&P 500) cannot be beaten. This book claims it can and I believe Haugen is really on to something big.
I have been a non-financial scientific and technical analyst for a company doing business primarily with the defense department for over twenty years and found the analysis techniques presented in the book to be completely rational and apparently based on a very sound statistical approach.
This is the most refreshing approach to reality investing I have yet read. I intend to read the other two books in the trilogy.
If you want to break out of the Modern Portfolio Theory mold, read it.

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Minggu, 26 Oktober 2014

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  • Sales Rank: #11961564 in Books
  • Published on: 2005-12-01
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 2
  • Dimensions: 9.21" h x .39" w x 6.14" l,
  • Binding: Paperback
  • 224 pages

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  • Sales Rank: #1029474 in Books
  • Brand: Charlesbridge/Imagine
  • Published on: 2012-02-01
  • Released on: 2012-02-01
  • Original language: English
  • Number of items: 1
  • Dimensions: 9.02" h x .85" w x 6.04" l, 1.60 pounds
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  • 288 pages
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  • Sales Rank: #1839088 in Books
  • Published on: 1994-11-28
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Senin, 20 Oktober 2014

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Our village, by Mary Russell MITFORD

  • Sales Rank: #5306234 in Books
  • Published on: 1997
  • Binding: Hardcover

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[H120.Ebook] Download PDF On Grief and Grieving: Finding the Meaning of Grief Through the Five Stages of Loss, by Elisabeth Kubler-Ross, David Kessler

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Shortly before her death in 2004, Elisabeth Kübler-Ross and David Kessler, her collaborator, completed the manuscript for this, her final book. On Grief and Grieving is a fitting completion to her work. Thirty-six years and sixteen books ago, Kübler-Ross's groundbreaking On Death and Dying changed the way we talk about the end of life. Now On Grief and Grieving will profoundly influence the way we experience the process of grief.
On Death and Dying began as a theoretical book, an interdisciplinary study of our fear of death and our inevitable acceptance of it. It introduced the world to the now-famous five stages: denial, anger, bargaining, depression, and acceptance. On Grief and Grieving applies these stages to the process of grieving and weaves together theory, inspiration, and practical advice, all based on Kübler-Ross's and Kessler's professional and personal experiences, and is filled with brief, topic-driven stories. It includes sections on sadness, hauntings, dreams, coping, children, healing, isolation, and even the subject of sex during grief.
"I know death is close," Kübler-Ross says at the end of the book, "but not quite yet. I lie here like so many people over the years, in a bed surrounded by flowers and looking out a big window....I now know that the purpose of my life is more than these stages....It is not just about the life lost but also the life lived."
In one of their final writing sessions, Kübler-Ross told Kessler, "The last nine years have taught me patience, and the weaker and more bed-bound I become, the more I'm learning about receiving love."
On Grief and Grieving is Elisabeth Kübler-Ross's final legacy, one that brings her life's work profoundly full circle.

  • Sales Rank: #50811 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2005-07-19
  • Released on: 2005-07-19
  • Format: Kindle eBook

Review
"Elisabeth Kuebler-Ross deserves to be remembered because her life and work have made this world a better place. On Grief and Grieving is a heartfelt tribute to all who have lost a loved one, from a woman who changed our lives by changing our relationship to death and dying. What a wonderful book Elisabeth and David have written."

-- Caroline Myss

About the Author
Elisabeth Kübler-Ross, MD, [1926–2004] was a Swiss-born psychiatrist, humanitarian, and co-founder of the hospice movement around the world. She was also the author of the groundbreaking book On Death and Dying, which first discussed The Five Stages of Grief. Elisabeth authored twenty-four books in thirty-six languages and brought comfort to millions of people coping with their own deaths or the death of a loved one. Her greatest professional legacy includes teaching the practice of humane care for the dying and the importance of sharing unconditional love. Her work continues by the efforts of hundreds of organizations around the world, including The Elisabeth Kübler-Ross Foundation: EKRFoundation.org.

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3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
This book holds your mind, heart and soul as you grieve...
By Lora Jansson
Two weeks ago last Monday, my beloved canine companion and business partner, Star Gazer, died. My grief is huge, bigger than any notion of the infinity of space. Then last Monday, my father died. And a whole new grief began, different in texture, character and substance. I am learning there are many kinds of grief.

I am blessed to have a husband and friends who love me, and a spiritual practice -- shamanism -- which has taught me that death is graduation day. Still, I am alone in this grief that knocks me about like a tsunami, slamming me underwater, inevitably driving my body into sharp rocks that cut. Knowing life transmutes helps my Self, but missing these unique beings who were so very important to me hurts my self. Both are true.

This book is holding my hand. It is a cliche to say it is a user's manual for grief for it is not mechanic, and it is trite to say it is an angel because that is imbuing it with sentimentality which it doesn't have, and not honoring the tenderness it does have. Mostly, it is bringing peace about the rightness and complexity of grieving -- not so much explaining it away as mapping it so that the terrain is less unknown and terrifying.

Whether you grieve you parent or your partner, the world or your circumstance, this book can help.

Namaste.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
It will not be happy circumstances that bring anybody to a book on grief
By Vicki
It will not be happy circumstances that bring anybody to a book on grief. I have given this book as gift and have been told when ready, this book will comfort or at least promote understanding of the grief. I purchased the book to place in a box that my daughter will have after I pass.

5 of 5 people found the following review helpful.
relief for the grieving soul
By Kanchana Bandara
This is a very gentle and reassuring book for anyone trying to come to terms with the loss of a loved one. I lost my father to cancer last year, and during his illness I read "On Death and Dying" by the same author. That book helped me greatly to understand what I could do for my father at a time when I felt helpless. "On Grief and Grieving" is clear and easy to read, and gives very practical advice in a gentle way to help a grieving soul find solace, by pointing out that each person grieves in a different way and at a different rate, and that no one else can tell you when it is time to get over the loss...Indeed, the authors clearly state (and I agree) that there is no getting over the loss so to speak..only a learning to live with it. In a world where many are uncomfortable with sadness and tears, this book tells us it is okay to feel and express both. Anyone who has lost a loved one, or is trying to support someone who has experienced such a loss should definitely read this book.

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Selasa, 14 Oktober 2014

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Improving Patient Safety Through Teamwork and Team Training

  • Published on: 1656
  • Binding: Paperback

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Minggu, 12 Oktober 2014

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Year after year a majority of the titles on ALA’s Banned Books list, which compiles titles threatened with censorship, are either YA books or adult books that are frequently read by teens. It’s important for YA librarians to understand the types of challenges occurring in libraries around the nation and to be ready to deal with such challenges when they occur. The Young Adult Library Services (YALSA) has tailored this book specifically for these situations, providing much-needed guidance on the highly charged topic of intellectual freedom for teens. Among the issues addressed are
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  • Sales Rank: #3033398 in eBooks
  • Published on: 2014-09-24
  • Released on: 2014-09-24
  • Format: Kindle eBook

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Minggu, 05 Oktober 2014

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Songs and Background Music from Rudolph, the Red-Nosed Reindeer: Vocal Selections, by Music and Lyrics

1964 St. Nicholas, publisher. Vocals Selections. Songs included: Rudolph the Red-Nosed Reindeer, I Heard the Bells on Christmas Day, Rockin, Around the Christmas Tree, A Holly Jolly Christmas, The Night Before Christmas Song, Silver and Gold, When Santa Claus Gets your Letter, We Are Santa's Elves, The Most Wonderful Day of the Year, Jingle Jingle Jingle, and more. P/V/Chords. 31 pages.

  • Sales Rank: #5476982 in Books
  • Published on: 1964
  • Binding: Paperback

Most helpful customer reviews

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
This is awesome!
By D. Hathaway
Johnny Marks songs are the theme music of my childhood.
I searched for this for YEARS, specifically for the song, "There's Always Tomorrow.".
Some of the greatest Christmas Music ever written.

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Rabu, 01 Oktober 2014

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  • Sales Rank: #1223839 in Books
  • Published on: 2013-01-01
  • Number of items: 1
  • Binding: Paperback
Features
  • 8th edition Custom edition

Most helpful customer reviews

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By Denise Ramirez
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